The Satellite View of the Sahel: Seeing Problems for Management

Andrew Stancioff

The talk revealed the relations between techniques of visualization and management. It was based on a series of slides that show trends of decreasing rainfall in the Sahel of Africa since 1940's and then illustrates the effect of such a trend on agricultural production, food insecurity, poverty, migration and finally conflict.

My contention is that scarcity induces social friction. I further contend that scarcity in this area can be predicted and that therefore population movement and potential for conflict can be similarly predicted. Therefore it seems apparent that with foresight proper programs can be put in place to avert or at least mitigate conflict.


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